MUJIGAE ေလဖိအားနည္းရပ္ဝန္းအျဖစ္ျပန္လည္ေလ်ာ့က်သြားၿပီ

အပူပိုင္းမုန္တိုင္းငယ္အျဖစ္ကူးေျပာင္းသြားခဲ့တဲ့ MUJIGAE ဟာ ဒီေန႕ ေန႕လည္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္နဲ႕ ညေန ၃နာရီခြဲ JTWC မွတိုင္းထြာထုတ္ျပန္ခ်က္မ်ားအရ ေလဖိအားနည္းရပ္ဝန္းအဆင့္သို႕ျပန္လည္ ေလ်ာ့က်ကာ ေဟာင္ေကာင္ေတာင္ဘက္ ၁၉၅ မိုင္အကြာမွာ ဆက္လက္တည္ရွိေနေၾကာင္းနဲ႕ အေနာက္ဘက္ကို တစ္နာရီလွ်င္ ၁၁ မိုင္ႏွဳန္းနဲ႕ ဆက္လက္ေရြ႕လ်ားလွ်က္ရွိေၾကာင္း ေတြ႕ရွိရပါတယ္။

MUJIGAE ဟာ ဆက္လက္ေစာင့္ၾကည့္ေနရဆဲအေျခအေနမွာရွိေနေၾကာင္း ေအာက္ပါ JTWC ထုတ္ျပန္ခ်က္မွာ ေဖၚျပထားပါတယ္။

100900z position near 19.1n 113.2e.
Tropical depression (td) 14w (mujigae), located approximately
195 nm south of Hong Kong, has tracked westward at 11 knots over the
past six hours. Animated multispectral imagery shows that a fully
exposed low level circulation center (LLCC) has become visible as
vertical wind shear (vws) has increased over the system. An upper
level anticyclone to the northeast of TD 14w has continued to extend
westward over eastern China, causing an increase in the upper level
gradient flow over TD 14w, which has caused the increase in vws.
Mujigae is still tracking briskly westward under the influence of
the low- to mid-level subtropical ridge (str) to the north towards
Hainan Island. Vws will remain moderate to strong throughout the
forecast period, inhibiting additional development. As the system
tracks across Hainan Island, TD 14w will begin to weaken slightly
before crossing back into the Gulf of Tonkin. Track speeds will
begin to slow as mujigae crosses over Hainan Island and the str
weakens. TD 14w is forecast to track into northern Vietnam between
tau 60 and tau 72. Maximum significant wave height at 100600z is 12
feet. Next warnings at 101500z, 102100z, 110300z and 110900z.//

100900z position near 19.1n 113.2e.

  • Tropical depression (td) 14w (mujigae), located approximately 195 nm south of Hong Kong, has tracked westward at 11 knots over the past six hours.
  • Animated multispectral imagery shows that a fully exposed low level circulation center (LLCC) has become visible as vertical wind shear (vws) has increased over the system.
  • An upper level anticyclone to the northeast of TD 14w has continued to extend westward over eastern China, causing an increase in the upper level gradient flow over TD 14w, which has caused the increase in vws.
  • Mujigae is still tracking briskly westward under the influence of the low- to mid-level subtropical ridge (str) to the north towards Hainan Island.
  • Vws will remain moderate to strong throughout the forecast period, inhibiting additional development.
  • As the system tracks across Hainan Island, TD 14w will begin to weaken slightly before crossing back into the Gulf of Tonkin.
  • Track speeds will begin to slow as mujigae crosses over Hainan Island and the str weakens.
  • TD 14w is forecast to track into northern Vietnam between tau 60 and tau 72. Maximum significant wave height at 100600z is 12 feet.

Next warnings at 101500z, 102100z, 110300z and 110900z.//

200914W_1

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