စူပါတိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း CHOI-WAN update#2

Distance 1: 510 km (275 nm) NNW of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 2: 675 km (365 nm) SSE of Iwo To
Distance 3: 830 km (450 nm) East of P.A.R. ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ ပိုင္နက္မိုးေလဝသတိုင္းထြာေရးပိုင္နက္မွ မိုင္ ၄၅ဝ
Distance 4: 865 km (468 nm) SE of Chichi Jima
Distance 5: 2,195 km (1,185 nm) ESE of Batanes, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg):
260 kph (140 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (170 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 5
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Central Pressure: 918 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands မ်ားသို႕ဦးတည္ေရြ႕လ်ားလွ်က္ရွိ
Size (in Diameter): 1,155 km (625 nm) / Very Large မုန္တိုင္းအခ်င္း ၁၁၅၅ ကီလိုမီတာ(၆၂၅ ေနာ္တီကယ္မိုင္ – ၇၂ဝ မိုင္) “အလြန္ႀကီးမား
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 39 ft (11.8 m) ဗဟိုခ်က္၌ မုန္တိုင္းဒီေရ ၃၉ ေပ (၁၁.၈ မီတာ)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 1 PM PST Wed Sep 16
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
00Z Wed Sep 16
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Wed Sep 16
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic:
Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

Super Typhoon CHOI-WAN (15W) သည္ အဆင့္-၅ CAT – 5 ျဖင့္ မာရီယားနားကၽြန္းစုမွ ထြက္ခြာၿပီျဖစ္ပါသည္။

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country’s official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Forecast Outlook: CHOI-WAN is expected to begin turning to the NW within the next 12 to 24 hours and may reach its peak wind speed of 270 kph before starting to lose strength. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the howler recurving Northward to NNE-ward, passing about 110 km to the west of Iwo To on early Friday morning Sep 18 and about 170 km to the west of Chichi Jima on late Friday afternoon. CHOI-WAN shall continue to weaken as it accelerate further to the NE across a slightly cooler Northwestern Pacific Ocean.
Effects: CHOI-WAN’s dangerous main core (eye & eyewall) remains over warm open seas…its inner bands no longer affecting Agrihan and Alamagan Islands…Outer bands still hovering across the rest of Northern Marianas – bringing rains and winds not in excess of 60 kph. Typhoon conditions w/ winds of more than 200 kph can be felt along the path of CHOI-WAN. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 250 mm can be expected along CHOI-WAN’s rainbands…with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of CHOI-WAN or along its Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of more than 18 feet above normal tide levels…accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves…is possible along the coastal areas of Northern Marianas. Catastrophic damage is likely on this type of storm surge.

6 Responses to “စူပါတိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း CHOI-WAN update#2”

  1. mmweather Says:

    Supertyphoon spares Saipan, threatens north islands ….
    BY GAYNOR DUMAT-OL DALENO • PACIFIC DAILY NEWS GDUMAT-OL@GUAMPDN.COM • SEPTEMBER 16, 2009
    ====
    Northern Marianas public schools will reopen today and local government offices reopened yesterday as Supertyphoon Choi-Wan moved farther away from the commonwealth.

    “We are still performing a damage assessment, but so far, the damage seems minimal,” said Press Secretary Charles Reyes, with the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands governor’s office.

    The typhoon has passed Saipan and Tinian, and was heading north, Reyes said yesterday afternoon. The typhoon shut down the Saipan airport and seaport on Monday.

    While the typhoon has moved away, Guam and the Northern Marianas are being asked to be cautious of windy conditions. Typhoon conditions were expected through yesterday evening in Agrihan, according to the Weather Service.

    A band of monsoon showers south and east of the typhoon will cause high winds on Guam, Rota and Tinian through tomorrow morning, according to the National Weather Service on Guam.

    Winds of 25 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 mph can be expected, according to the Weather Service. Residents are asked to secure or tie down loose objects.

    Motorists are asked to drive with caution, the Weather Service advised.

  2. mmweather Says:

    Supertyphoon Becomes Category 5 Storm South of Japan (Update2) http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=atUsdhQwFKo0
    =============
    Sept. 16 (Bloomberg) — Supertyphoon Choi-Wan strengthened to a Category 5 storm over the Pacific to the south of Japan, according to the U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning center.

    Choi-Wan’s eye was about 539 kilometers (335 miles) northwest of the U.S. territory of Saipan at 3 p.m. Tokyo time today. Its maximum sustained winds increased to 260 kilometers per hour from 241 kph yesterday as it moved northwest at 17 kph.

    The storm, the strongest of this year’s northwest Pacific season, is expected to maintain its strength through tomorrow before weakening slightly by 3 a.m. on Sept. 18, the center said. Category 5 is the strongest on the five-step Saffir- Simpson scale and is assigned to storms with winds of 250 kph or higher.

    Choi-Wan is more than 2,000 kilometers across with a clearly defined eye, as seen in a NASA satellite photograph. It’s expected to approach islands to the south of Tokyo tomorrow and its eye is forecast to pass within about 500 kilometers of Tokyo on Sept. 19, according to the center.

    Waves at the center are 12 meters (39 feet) high and winds are gusting to 315 kph.

    The Japan Meteorological Agency, which is also monitoring the storm, calls it an “extremely strong” typhoon.

    Choi-Wan is the 15th storm of the northwest Pacific cyclone season. Category 5 storms are capable of “catastrophic damage” and can destroy small buildings and residences, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

    Hong Kong Battered

    Choi-Wan is Cantonese for a type of cloud, according to the Hong Kong Observatory, which list names in use for Pacific storms on its Web site.

    In China, one person was missing after Typhoon Koppu hit the southern coast yesterday, bringing strong winds and heavy rain, the official China Daily newspaper said.

    The storm, which battered Hong Kong yesterday and left three people dead in the Philippines when it passed Luzon a few days earlier, affected more than 1 million people in coastal areas, China Daily said.

    Koppu is forecast to dump more rain on inland areas as it turns into a tropical depression.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo at asheldrick@bloomberg.net.

  3. kozero Says:

    May wish and praying for,
    Everything have a nice state.

  4. orlando seo Says:

    Hey, nice! But, I had a difficult time viewing this article in Internet Explorer 8. Just wanted to bring that to your attention! Thanks.


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