တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း KETSANA ဗီယက္နမ္သို႕ဝင္လုနီးၿပီ

ယေန႕နံနက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ၆ နာရီခြဲ TSR ထုတ္ျပန္ခ်က္အရ –

တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း KETSANA သည္ တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း အဆင့္-၂ (CATAGORY-2 TYPHOON) အျဖစ္သို႕ ေရာက္ရွိေနၿပီး ဗီယက္နမ္ႏိုင္ငံ ဒါနန္းၿမိဳ႕ အေရွ႕ေတာင္ဘက္ မိုင္ ၉ဝ ခန္႕၊ ွQuang Ngai ၿမိဳ႕ အေရွ႕ဘက္ မိုင္ ၅ဝ ခန္႕ သို႕ ေရာက္ရွိဗဟိုျပဳေနပါသည္။ တိုင္ဖြန္း KETSANA သည္ အေနာက္ဘက္သို႕ ၁၇ ကီလိုမီတာ (၉ ေနာ္တီကယ္မိုင္ႏွဳန္း) ျဖင့္ ေရြ႕လ်ားေနၿပီး အရြယ္အစားပမာဏ ေျပာင္းလဲျခင္းမရွိပဲ ႀကီးမားျပင္းထန္ေသာ တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္းႀကီး အဆင့္တြင္ ဆက္လက္တည္ရွိေနပါသည္။

မုန္တိုင္း၏ လမ္းေၾကာင္းမွာ ေအာက္ဘက္(ေတာင္ဘက္သို႕) အနီးငယ္ က်သြားျခင္းေၾကာင့္ ဒါနန္းၿမိဳ႕၏ ေတာင္ဘက္ ၅၅ မိုင္ ခန္႕ ႏွင့္ Quang Ngai ၿမိဳ႕ေတာင္ဘက္ ၁၄ မိုင္ခန္႕မွ ေနာက္ ၁၂ နာရီအတြင္း ကုန္းတြင္းသို႕ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္ဝင္ေရာက္မည္ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း သိရပါသည္။

ကုန္းတြင္းသို႕ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္ဝင္ေရာက္စဥ္ ေလတိုက္ႏွဳန္း တစ္နာရီလွ်င္ ၁ဝ၅ မိုင္မွ ၁၂၅ မိုင္ အထိရွိႏိုင္မည္ျဖစ္ၿပီး မုန္တိုင္းဒီေရ အျမင့္ ၂၆ ေပအထိ ရွိမည္ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း JTWC ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္တြင္ ေဖၚျပထားပါသည္။

29sep-01-wp200917

6 Responses to “တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း KETSANA ဗီယက္နမ္သို႕ဝင္လုနီးၿပီ”

  1. Lucas Cin Than Kham Says:

    Dear all,
    The information from this site always used to be helpful and informative. If possible could you please send me the historical trend of water temperature movement and its way, what happen (typhoon, storm,etc.) when it reach to some point at threshold level-temp. What are more likely to happen in the remaining month of this year and next year. Thanking you in anticipation.

    Best regards,

    Lucas

  2. mmweather Says:

    CHU LAI ေလတပ္စခန္းေဟာင္းကို တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း KETSANA တည့္တည့္ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္လိမ့္မည္ ဟု ခန္႕မွန္း
    Posted by Whisky November on September 29, 2009 at 9:56am at page http://mmweather.ning.com/profiles/blogs/chu-lai-ketsana

  3. mmweather Says:

    Latest data for KETSANA from T2K
    Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue September 29 2009
    Location of Eye: 16.1 N Lat 109.7 E Lon
    Distance 1: 160 km (85 nm) East of Da Nang, Vietnam
    Distance 2: 230 km (125 nm) ESE of Hue, Vietnam
    Distance 3: 235 km (128 nm) South of Sanya, Hainan Is.
    Distance 4: 835 km (450 nm) SW of Hong Kong
    MaxWinds (1-min avg): 165 kph (90 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 205 kph (110 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
    Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 17 kph (09 kts)
    General Direction: Central Vietnam
    Size (in Diameter): 1,480 km (800 nm) / Very Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 26 ft (7.9 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Tue Sep 29
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Mon Sep 28
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Tue Sep 29
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  4. mmweather Says:

    100,000 in Vietnam flee from typhoon
    HANOI — More than 100,000 people have been evacuated from the path of Typhoon Ketsana as it bears down on central Vietnam, an official said Tuesday.
    As a weaker tropical storm, Ketsana battered the Philippines at the weekend, killing at least 240 people and rendering nearly 400,000 homeless.
    Ketsana has since intensified in strength as it crosses the Pacific and, according to Vietnamese government forecasters, is likely to slam into the coast of central Vietnam later Tuesday.

    The Hong Kong Observatory said that as of 0200 GMT, Typhoon Ketsana was centred about 130 kilometres (80 miles) east-southeast of Danang and was moving west towards central Vietnam at about 12 kilometres per hour.
    Authorities have mobilised several thousand military personnel and police to help residents out of the typhoon path, according to Nguyen The Hung of the national flood and storm control committee.

    “Most fishing vessels have returned to port,” he said. Vietnam Airlines on Monday said it was suspending flights to the central tourism hubs of Danang and Hue.
    Hung said “serious flooding” was feared and that residents who have not evacuated should stay indoors and avoid all non-essential travel.
    Tropical storm weather in the past week has already killed 18 people in central Vietnam, including from drowning, electrocution and accidents, the official said.

    AFP News

  5. mmweather Says:

    Philippines braces for new storm as toll hits 240
    By Raju Gopalakrishnan at

    MANILA (Reuters) – Philippine authorities braced on Tuesday for another storm as the death toll from rain and floods from a weekend typhoon, now bearing down on Vietnam, rose to 240.

    Weather forecasters said a new storm forming in the Pacific Ocean was likely to enter Philippine waters on Thursday and make landfall later in the week on the northern island of Luzon, just like Saturday’s Typhoon Ketsana.

    Ketsana dumped more than a month’s worth of average rainfall on Manila and surrounding areas in one 24-hour period. About 80 percent of the city of 15 million was flooded.

    Authorities estimated damage from the storm so far at around 2.34 billion pesos (31.4 million pounds). More than 1.8 million people were affected and 375,000 had abandoned their homes and taken refuge in evacuation centres.

    The death toll could rise further once reports come in from remote areas. The storm hit metropolitan Manila and 12 provinces.

    “For casualties, the increase will be not as great, but the damage figures may increase,” Defence Secretary Gilbert Teodoro told a news conference on Tuesday.

    “Even opportunity loss of revenues for establishments, that alone would amount to hundreds of millions at least per day.”

    VIETNAM NEXT

    Ketsana is now likely to make landfall in central Vietnam later on Tuesday, where authorities have ordered the evacuation of at least 170,000 people.

    Hundreds of soldiers were helping evacuate people and with storm preparations. Ships have been told to take shelter in Danang. Vietnam Airlines has cancelled all fights to the port city since Monday and schools in several coastal provinces were closed.

    In the Philippines, authorities released water from Angkat dam north of Manila, but stressed it was being done carefully to prevent any recurrence of floods.

    “Angat opened their gates slowly just to keep it at spilling level and the effect would be minimal,” Teodoro said.

    Communist rebels announced a unilateral ceasefire with government forces and ordered cadres to help in flood relief operations.

    Private citizens and volunteer groups were collecting relief goods — mostly clothes, drinking water and medicines — and distributing them to victims. Many people have thrown open their homes to those who were forced to abandon theirs.

    U.S. soldiers deployed in the south of the country have been brought to Manila to help in relief, while the United Nations has announced it will give food aid and cash for medical supplies.

    The government has come in for scathing criticism for its response to the disaster, with many calling it inadequate and delayed.

    President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo has called the typhoon “an extreme event that has strained our response capabilities to the limit.”

    “But it is not breaking us,” she said in a statement on Monday, after opening the presidential palace for relief efforts.

    “It’s a once-in-a-lifetime typhoon.”

    But analysts say the floods have worsened the reputation of Arroyo, who has been accused of corruption and poll fraud, and that it could affect the prospects of Teodoro, the administration candidate, in the May 2010 presidential election.

    (Additional reporting by Rosemarie Francisco; Editing by Bill Tarrant)


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