တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT ၏ မုန္တိုင္းမ်က္ေစ့ ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းႏွင့္လြတ္ႏိုင္

ယေန႕ ေအာက္တိုဘာလ ၂၂ ရက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ၀၆း၃ဝ နာရီတြင္ ရရွိသည့္ TSR data မ်ားအားပံုေဖၚထားသည့္ တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT ၏လမ္းေၾကာင္းႏွင့္ အင္အားျပပံုတြင္ လက္ရွိအခ်ိန္၌ ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ႏိုင္ငံေျမာက္ပိုင္းစြန္းရွိ Palui ကၽြန္း၏ အေနာက္ဘက္ မိုင္ ၁၇ဝ ခန္႕တြင္ ဗဟိုျပဳလွ်က္ရွိၿပီး အေနာက္ဘက္သို႕ တစ္နာရီလွ်င္ ၆ မိုင္ႏွဳန္းျဖင့္ ဆက္လက္ေရြ႕လ်ားေနပါသည္။

ေအာက္တိုဘာလ ၂၁ ရက္ေန႕တြင္ ရရွိသည့္ data မ်ားကို ပံုေဖၚထားသည့္ လမ္းေၾကာင္းႏွင့္ သိသိသာသာ ကြဲလြဲသြားၿပီး လာမည့္ ၄၈ နာရီ (ေအာက္တိုဘာလ ၂၄ ရက္ 0000 GMT) တြင္ စတင္၍ အေနာက္ေျမာက္ယြန္းယြန္းသို႕ လမ္းေၾကာင္းေျပာင္းကာ Calayan-Cagayan ကၽြန္းဆီသို႕ ဦးတည္ေရြ႕လ်ားမည့္အေနအထားေတြ႕ရပါသည္။

ဤသို႕ လမ္းေၾကာင္းေျပာင္းေရြ႕လ်ားမည့္အေျခအေနေၾကာင့္ ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းေဒသမ်ားသို႕ မုန္တိုင္းတိုက္ရိုက္ဝင္ေရာက္တိုက္ခတ္ႏိုင္မည့္ အႏၱရာယ္မွ လြတ္ကင္းႏိုင္ေသာ္လည္း အခ်င္း မိုင္ ၅ဝဝ ေက်ာ္ရွိသည့္ အရြယ္အစားႀကီးမားမႈေၾကာင့္ လံုးဝလြတ္ကင္းႏိုင္မည္ေတာ့ မဟုတ္ေၾကာင္း ခန္႕မွန္းရပါသည္။ လက္ရွိေလတိုက္ႏွဳန္းအရ တစ္နာရီလွ်င္ မိုင္၁ဝဝ အထက္ရွိသည့္ ေလျပင္းမ်ားႏွင့္ မိုးသည္းထန္မႈအႏၱရာယ္ကိုေတာ့ ရင္ဆိုင္ရမည္ျဖစ္ေၾကာင္း ခန္႕မွန္းတင္ျပအပ္ပါသည္။

TSR ၏ လာမည့္ ၇၂ နာရီ ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္ပံုအရ ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းစြန္းမွ ျဖတ္ေက်ာ္ၿပီးလွ်င္ ထိုင္ဝမ္ကၽြန္းသည္ အႏၱရာယ္ရွိလာႏိုင္ေၾကာင္း ေတြ႕ျမင္ႏိုင္ပါသည္။

One Response to “တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT ၏ မုန္တိုင္းမ်က္ေစ့ ဖိလစ္ပိုင္ေျမာက္ပိုင္းႏွင့္လြတ္ႏိုင္”

  1. mmweather Says:

    Typhoon Lupit Heads for Philippines; Warnings Issued (Update1)
    By Aaron Sheldrick and Francisco Alcuaz Jr.

    Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) — Typhoon Lupit edged closer to the Philippines, bringing the threat of more rain and floods to the most populous island of Luzon, where more than 860 people have died in two cyclones in the past month.

    While Lupit’s eye isn’t expected to make landfall for three days, its outer bands have already reached northern Luzon. The longer it hovers near land, the more rain it may dump on areas already under water from earlier storms.

    “The winds are the most dangerous when they hit the coast, but after that they weaken,” said Prisco Nilo, the administrator at the Philippines Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. “The most casualties and damage come from the rain.”

    Evacuations have been under way throughout the island all week and supplies and equipment for rescue operations continue to be sent to regions expected to be affected by Lupit. Parts of Luzon were devastated when Tropical Storm Ketsana swept through Sept. 26, followed by Typhoon Parma, causing damages of almost 30.3 billion pesos ($645 million). About 8.7 million people were affected by the storms and more than 189,000 remain in emergency shelters, according to the government.

    Lupit, with maximum sustained winds of 160 kilometers (99 miles) per hour, was 350 kilometers east-northeast of the town of Aparri on the northern tip of Luzon at 4 a.m. local time today, according to the Philippines weather agency.

    Forward Movement
    The storm’s forward movement, to the west-southwest, has slowed in the past two days and Lupit’s eye is expected to make landfall in northern Luzon after 2 a.m. on Oct. 25, according to the agency’s forecast.

    The U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s latest forecast for landfall has changed to late Oct. 24 from early that day. Nilo said the eye of the storm may cross the coast as late as Oct. 26.

    “Some residents are still refusing to evacuate,” Chief Superintendent Roberto Damian, the police commander in northeastern Luzon, said in a phone interview from the city of Tuguegarao, which is about 350 kilometers north of Manila. “They say the weather is still good.”

    The Philippines agency issued its storm signal No. 3, meaning winds of between 100 and 185 kph are expected, for areas in the north of Luzon and nearby islands.

    “We are prepared for the normal passage of a typhoon, which is about 2 1/2 hours. If it’s longer than that, we’ll just have to stay longer in evacuation centers,” Damian said. “We’ll try to increase provisions.”

    Rice Crops
    Parma ravaged rice crops in Cagayan Valley in northern Luzon, the nation’s second-biggest production area for the staple, forcing the government to schedule a 250,000 metric ton tender next month.

    Lupit may force the Philippines, the world’s biggest importer of rice, to hold further tenders, National Food Authority Deputy Administrator Vic Jarina said on Oct. 19.

    Lupit means cruel in Tagalog, one of the main languages of the Philippines, according to the Hong Kong Observatory, which lists names in use for Pacific storms on its Web site. The storm is referred to as Ramil in the Philippines.

    Parma crossed Luzon three times earlier this month, leaving at least 438 people dead and 50 missing, according to the National Disaster Coordinating Council.

    Ketsana left 426 people dead and 37 missing when it crossed Luzon, according to the NDCC.

    view original article on Bloomberg


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