23OCT-တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT update-01

တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT သည္ အပူပိုင္းမုန္တိုင္းအဆင့္အထိ ေလ်ာ့က်သြားၿပီျဖစ္ၿပီး အရြယ္အစားမွာလည္း အခ်င္း ၄၈ဝ ေနာ္တီကယ္မိုင္(၅၅၂ မိုင္) သို႕ အနည္းငယ္ေလ်ာ့သြားေၾကာင္း T2K Storm Track #024 တြင္ေဖၚျပပါရွိပါသည္။

ေအာက္တိုဘာလ ၂၃ ရက္ ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ နံနက္ ၆း၃ဝ တြင္ရရွိေသာ TSR data အရ အပူပိုင္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT သည္ ထိုင္ဝမ္ကၽြန္း ေတာင္ဘက္စြန္းရွိ HENGCHUN ႏွင့္ MANJHOU ၿမိဳ႕မ်ား၏ အေရွ႕ေတာင္ဘက္ မိုင္ ၂၇ဝ ခန္႕သို႕ ေရာက္ရွိဗဟိုျပဳကာ အေနာက္ဘက္သို႕ တစ္နာရီလွ်င္ ၉ မိုင္ႏွဳန္းျဖင့္ ေရြ႕လ်ားလွ်က္ရွိေၾကာင္းသိရပါသည္။

၄င္းသည္ လာမည့္ ၄၈ နာရီေနာက္ပိုင္းတြင္ ေျမာက္ဘက္သို႕ဦးတည္ေရြ႕လ်ားႏိုင္ဘြယ္ရွိၿပီး ထိုင္ဝမ္ကၽြန္းေတာင္ဘက္ပိုင္းသို႕ ဦးတည္ႏိုင္ေၾကာင္း သိရပါသည္။

ယေန႕နံနက္ ဝ၉း၃ဝ နာရီတြင္ ရရွိေသာ ၿဂိဳလ္တုဓါတ္ပံု

One Response to “23OCT-တိုင္ဖြန္းမုန္တိုင္း LUPIT update-01”

  1. mmweather Says:

    Typhoon Lupit may spare the Philippines
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    Typhoon Lupit continues to struggle with dry air, which has significantly disrupted the typhoon’s inner core, leading to a partial collapse of the eyewall. Lupit is now a minimal Category 1 storm with 75 mph winds. Recent microwave imagery shows that the typhoon is missing a large portion of its western eyewall, and this morning’s infrared satellite loop shows that the storm’s heavy thunderstorm activity is rather disorganized. Even in its current weakened state, Lupit is a dangerous rain-maker, with rainfall rates exceeding twelve inches per day near its core (Figure 2).

    While it is too early to be confident of this forecast, it now appears that Lupit will spare the Philippines a direct hit and a punishing deluge of 12+ inches of rain. The typhoon has slowed in reaction to a collapse of the steering currents, and most of the models are now calling for Lupit to stall just offshore, or recurve to the northeast. The very slow motion of the storm means that it will stir up large quantities of cool water from the depths that will then surround the storm, making re-intensification unlikely, and decreasing the amount of rain the storm is able to produce. The typhoon’s core of heaviest rain appears likely to remain offshore, though the extreme northern portion of Luzon Island may still receive 6 – 12 inches of rain before the storm finally departs.

    Storm chaser Jim Edds is in northern Luzon to document Lupit’s impact, and has photos of the preparations the residents are taking.

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